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Trend 2012: DIY
Is there life after the crisis? Yes! See the Youtube clip Trend 2012: DIY (1 minute). Do It Yourself, Do It Local! With the best post-crisis companies and the new professions of 2012: #solar farmer #nano smith #waste coach #3D architect #DMark banker #talent hunter #media coach #serious gamer
For more info, read the article Future View in the renowned magazine The Futurist (January-February 2012 issue).
WANNA BET? “LAST NEWSPAPER & BOOK PRINTED IN 2020”
"Screens have replaced all current paper media and digital information carriers like DVD and CD. Paper has disappeared completely in the 3D mobile media cloud. We will still listen to music but without owning music CD’s. We will rent information, not own it. Newspapers & magazines are available on screen only. Publishers have turned into Ebook sellers. Bookless libraries and bookshops have turned into community centers & meeting places in time — or went bankrupt..."
WANNA BET? Journalists, publishers & authors who want to challenge the bet are welcome! Mail to info@futurecheck.com or Twitter @futurecheck (mention #futurecloud). Your name will be included on the bets page.
PLACE YOUR BET & VOTE NOW: www.futurecheck.com/wannabet
BOOK LAUNCH ON N.Y. TRENDWATCH SITE HALL FIVE This bet is part of a series of public bets between Dutch futurist Marcel Bullinga and experts in several fields. The bets are linked to Bullinga’s book Welcome to the Future Cloud – 2025 in 100 Predictions. The book was launched on New York trendwatch site Hall Five.
The Cloud is a world with no paper and no oil. Every office, school and factory has turned into a gaming zone. Social robots do the dirty jobs. The Cloud reduced has traffic jams & caused an economic boom.
Article: Hall Five | All Bets: www.futurecheck.com/allbets Book: www.futurecheck.com/book | Top 10 Predictions: www.futurecheck.com/top10
Download this article (PDF)
Vote now! http://goo.gl/RKW9P. An intelligent cucumber reports itself if it carries dangerous bacteria, and thus prevents an epidemic and economic damage (like now with EHEH). Can this intelligent cucumber be bought in the supermarket in 2018? Vote & twitter/blog about it, mentioning @futurecheck. View vote results
More than 150 people have filled in the 3 quizzes that belong to Welcome to the Future Cloud, the interactive book with 100 predictions about 2025. The most popular (107) is the Intro Quiz about one's personal future. Here are the first results:
—Prediction 2 is the winner. 72% thinks Prediction 2 to be "likely": "Everything is software, from police work to driving a car and teaching kids. Social robots, smart software and distant screen workers raise global labour productivity and reduce labour shortage in greying and shrinking countries. This causes a global economic boom"
—The majority of respondents is happy. 43% gives themself an eight for personal happiness and 33% gives their country a seven. 87% is optimistic about the future
—82% thinks they are "better than a robot", because their work is about "soft skills only a human can do: create & design, lead & motivate"
—The virtual world will make us smarter and dumber at the same time (59%)
—Cash is out. All money will be virtual (69%)
—The key to future wealth & happiness is: "The freedom to choose your own lifestyle" (71%)
—Prediction 4 is the loser. 67% thinks Prediction 2 is "unlikely": "Local money, like the ‘Totnes Pound’ or the ‘Healthcare Yen’, stimulates local economies worldwide and diminishes speculation. This causes yet another global economic boom"
Download the pdf with all results from the Intro Quiz
Download the pdf with intro Quiz respondents own keys to future wealth & happiness
Intro Quiz is here: www.futurecheck.com/introquiz. Please keep filling it in! It will contribute to our sense of direction about the future
Marcel Bullinga chaired an Euopean congress about the future of the country side. An optimistic view helps!
Blog of a participant
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The Webcast of the entire conference.
www.mediagaggle.com
In a mind-boggling interview with Media Gaggle, pioneering futurist Marcel Bullinga predicts that smartphones will become "the remote control of your life" and by 2020 the last book will be printed.
Read More
..or on the web
Fourth "Future of the Internet" survey, conducted by the Pew Internet & American Life Project. Amongst the expert contributions a quote from Marcel Bullinga, Dutch Futurist at futurecheck.com: "Google will make us stupid and intelligent at the same time. In the future, we will live in a transparent 3D mobile media cloud that surrounds us everywhere. In this cloud, we will use intelligent machines, to whom we delegate both simple and complex tasks. Therefore, we will lose the skills we needed in the old days (e.g., reading paper maps while driving a car). But we will gain the skill to make better choices (e.g., knowing to choose the mortgage that is best for you instead of best for the bank). All in all, I think the gains outweigh the losses."
Fastfuture.com (UK)
Research company Fastfuture found out what the jobs of the future are. They conducted a global survey. Marcel Bullinga added his view.
Download: Future jobs (pdf)
Boss Magazine 36, June 2009, by Technical University Delft (NL)
Future Flows. 31 statements and 1 question for futurist Marcel Bullinga. About real estate, projectdevelopment, the space, the city (no sex though)
Download: The Future of Real Estate
- www.linkedin.com
What if the bailouts do not work? Question asked by Jeffrey Newman, Partner at Prince Lobel, in Linkedin.com, Global Foreseight Group. While it could be considered fear mongering, speculation on what happens if the bailouts fail are few and non-existent. The fact is that we are seeing THE BLACK SWAN and that no economist, politician or futurist can say with any probability that US and world markets will not destruct, sending the world into panic and free fall. The arguments made are that it does no good to create scenarios because nothing can be done at that point. This is not accurate. By creating various scenarios, we might be able to prevent some of the potential damages. In any case, I would be interested in hearing if there is any interest such discussions before I begin. .. Read More
Future Voices (US)
What is IN and what is OUT in the future? Nine trends & nine inventions: the management summary. Published in US-based Future Voices .. Read More
Future Orientation (Denmark futurist magazine) Februari 2010
Nine trends and nine inventions will shape the face of the 21st century. They will have a similar impact on our lives as the car, the TV and the airplane had on the lives of our parents. Take a sneak peak at Marcel Bullinga's upcoming book Futurecheck. .. Read More
www.capgemini.com/consulting
Capgemini Consulting presented 'Finance Vision 2020: The transformation of the CFO'. Capgemini assesses the influence of megatrends on the CFO-agenda and the financial function, with an international group of CFO's, professors and financial strategists.
A visionary book for the CFO that wants to be prepared for tomorrow. Including the presentation of futurist Marcel Bullinga about the future of finance. We are still more than a decade away from that magical sounding year 2020. A year that does not only embody our fascination for the future, but also our "great expectations" with regard to the beginning of a new Golden Age of prosperity and innovation. What will life be like for the Chief Financial Officer in 2020? Does he or she have the same challenges as today? What are the most important megatrends that are key to understanding the future of the finance function?
Futurist Marcel Bullinga explains the future using the numbers 0,1,2 and 6-...
Question asked on Linkedin.com in group "Government Policy". Answer by futurist Marcel Bullinga: 7 Goals to make your country futureproof and happy: GO GREEN, GO HIGH, GO GAY, GO FLAT, GO DIGITAL, GO BORDER, GO NEUTRAL
- http://shapingtomorrowmain.ning.co
Question asked on Shaping Tomorrow in the Foresight Network/The Futurist Group. Answer by futurist Marcel Bullinga: the simultaneous creation of the Energy Web, Production Web, and Prevention Web.
-the creation of an Energy Web, similar to the WWW, of independent sources of locally produced, sustainable, transport-less energy. This will greatly reduce the gepolitical risks connected to oil from failed states, and reduce the (perceived) need for war on resources. We need to live without oil if we want to keep the future world healthy and peaceful.
-the creation of a Production Web, similar to the WWW, in which physical products are created and produced locally without transport. Printing products and buildings locally instead of assembling them in a distant factory.
-the creation of a Prevention Web, in which the current need for medicines, for care, for transport, for raw resources etcetera is reduced or elimated through the development of nano-enhanced materials. We play for God in a friendly and human manner (at last...).
The 3 Webs combined will create a global and connected world without the risks derived from this same global interdependency. We need cities and regions to be globally interconnected and *at the same time* autonomous in various ways, like energy, food, and production capacity. Current sustainability trends, like Cradle-to-Cradle and Waste-to-Fuel, are part of these emerging webs.
It will also give more power to individuals; trends here are selfchoice, selfservice, selfcontrol, but also selfpay (for old age). Including a personal dashboard for every single worldcitizen to transact and communicate with companies and governments globally. Current trends like E-government and Web 2.0 are part of these emerging webs.
All of this could happen between now and 2020-2025.
So far my best guess. The Future is Bright!
Youtube
Europe will see a Silver Century and 3 boosters for new wealth and innovation: the transparent, the intelligent and the virtual world. These boosters will lead us into a new Golden Century — provided we grab the opportunities!
Europe will see a Silver Century and 3 boosters for new wealth and innovation: the transparent, the intelligent and the virtual world. These boosters will lead us into a new Golden Century — provided we grab the opportunities!This Youtube-clip covers about 1/2 of the original clip. You can see the other 1/2 at a live presentation by futurist Marcel Bullinga -- together with his explanation...Clip after the essay Europe in 2020 from the Futurecheck Knowledgeletter
Independent European futurist Marcel Bullinga is public guest speaker and chairman about the future. Interactive, with lots of images & music, and fast. He guides the audience into the future with a Crash Course Future, Picture Storm, Future Quiz, the numbers 0,1 & 6-, and of course a good Neighbour's Talk. He also chairs your congress and develops -- together with the audience! - a future vision and innovation plan of your organisation in only 1 day.
CU TOMORROW!
This article is part of the Futurecheck Knowledgeletter 2006.
If you want to read all texts offline, then download the full txt in PDF
Open Letter to Bill Gates & Larry Page. Please give us back control over our life in 2020 - www.futurecheck.nl
Technology Review, October 2005
Question Marcel Bullinga: "In the end, the key factor will not be the computer itself but the software that it runs. How will this software enhance the educational capabilities of the user, reflect local cultural norms, and be integrated into schools?"Answer Nicholas Negroponte: "Children in the third world need the newest technology to provide really rugged hardware and innovative software."
http://www.noomarket.com/PolDef/IntelligentGov.htm
01-07-2004 - The Futurist (US), July-August 200
Networked smart environments embedded with computer technologies will allow authorities to regularly downlaod laws and security procedures. This "ambient intelligence" will pave the way for automtic law enforcment, says a Dutch futurist and technology adviser [Marcel Bullinga.]
Read More 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
Keynote Adress for worldwide E-government platform ICA on September 18th 2003 in Tallinn, Estonia
Weblink ICAWeblink ICA>In the future, citizen will be more "in control" thanks to the concepts of Selfservice and Selfcontrol. At the same time, government will also gain power, thanks to automatic law enforcement.
23-01-2003 - Congress Egovernment & Space, EU-programm Interreg, Norway
Presentation by futurist Marcel BullingaIf space is made intelligent, new production methods will change spatial planning and we will get better, local focus for e-democracy. Chairman: "That was not a speech, that was fireworks!"
Image
[ Review ] - The Futurist, September-October 2002
Futurist Reader Panel welcomes Control Web and is worried about it
Read More 1, 2
21-04-2002 - The Futurist May-June 2002
Summary: The World Wide Web as we know it is out of control. Networked, intelligent environments will give us complete personal control over our world, our privacy, and our property. But we also will be more watched, and our actions more controlled. Four trends form the basis of the future Internet: 1. intelligent appliances & machines; 2. knowledge as essential and ubiquitous as oxygen (mobile Internet); 3. human body as key; 4. knowledge as moneyThe Futurist is a renowned worldwide magazine in which outstanding experts write about the future.
01-04-2002 - UK Thinktank Report on E-gov 2002 hosted by Headstar and British Telecom
Marcel Bullinga, Internet Trendwatcher, said: "If standardisation is really going to take off in the next years, more websites will end up going underground. There will be no need for (E-gov)customers to see these sites or even know they exist, since they deliver their services in the background. This would leave only a few really important "decision sites" that require customer's attention in order to initiate or end a required service." Bullinga participated in 5 threads of the Think Tank Debate. One thread was "Beyond the website... disappearing websites?", after Bullinga's idea of "decision sites"
Closed 3 Days Debate 2002, March 5-7
[Review ] 01-03-2002 - The Futurist Update - Cindy Wagner
European Parliament, hosted by the European Internet Foundation (presentation)
Presentation in the European Parliament in Brussels on 17 October 2000 for the symposium "Network Economy in 2004", hosted by the European Internet Foundation, chaired by MEP Elly Plooij.The Interactive Hyperlink in 2005 will provide digital rules & rights maintenance
The intelligent city: more safe, more empty, more accessible
07-09-2000 - presentation at the conference "ICT and the city" by the Dutch Ministry of Inner Affairs, The Hague 7 September 2000
VROM (Dutch Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning & Environment) (publication)
A screen in a coffeecup, what has that got to do with our physical, living environment? In five years' time the answer will be: all kinds of things. That screen built into a coffeecup represents fluid knowledge and fluid service available always and anywhere. At the Massachuset's Institute of Technology researchers are working on coffeecups and walls functioning as screens. Projection on window screens is in its pre-commercial testing stage. Fluidity is the essence of the Internet, and this can make the Netherlands more beautiful, quieter, and emptier. Unfortunately, not in a simple directly causal relation. The Internet is a freakish confusion of contradictions, from which I am trying to extract some trends. Will Hans van Breukhoven (founder of the Free Record Shop) still be at work in the year 2005 and flowers auctioned in Aalsmeer? There is one thing we need not worry about: cities will not disappear, but will become intelligent and even more urbanised places. The new catchwords: urban fluidity.
Bullinga's earlier futurestudy 'A Ministry of Space & Time' (Ministry VROM, september 1999) revisited.
Bullinga's earlier futurestudy 'A Ministry of Space & Time' (Ministry VROM, september 1999) revisited.>A screen in a coffeecup...
Web discussion August 2000
Results of an online think tank about the impact of the Net Economy
Image 1, 2
http://www.digecon2000.com/news.html
3 - 7 april 2000: virtual thinktank of 150 ministers, consultants and others in a week long debate called "Boosting the Digital Economy 2000". See 'Day 5' for my contribution.
Indian Times sept. 1999 - Osama Manzar
Marcel Bullinga is an Internet trendwatcher for Dutch government -- but not your average one. His newest book is a futurestudy: A Ministry of Space & Time. It is published in September '99.Marcel Bullinga is a Dutch Net pioneer.
Publication Ministry VROM
the futurestudy 'A Ministry of Space & Time' summarized in 10 extreme statements (September 1999)
>The future is about built-in intelligence...
01-09-1999 - VROM (Dutch Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and Environment) (publication)
A Study into the Future and a Discussion Paper for the Ministry of Housing, Spatial Planning and the Environment (the Netherlands) HSPE (VROM)
BY MARCEL BULLINGADIRECTORY OF INFORMATION MANAGEMENT ORGANISATION (DIO)THE MINISTRY OF HOUSING, SPATIAL PLANNING AND THE ENVIRONMENT
September 1999
September 1999>The influence of digital technology on the environment, space, housing and work, mobility, and the economy + service-rendering, decision-making and steering of the government
Interview by the Danish Net-magazine ComON
[ Review ] - Wired November 1997 - interview by Rachel Lehmann-Haupt
...says Marcel Bullinga, the flamboyant Dutch new media guru Want to know more?
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/5.12/eword.html?pg=5
[ Review ] - Holland Herald (KLM-magazine) - by Jules Marshall
Far-fetched? The corporate community and the Dutch government are listening, reports Jules Marshall
>In business and politics, the Net is creating a new form of digital democracy, says software developer Marcel Bullinga.
Democracy is basically about the organization and distribution of public trust.
Sdu Conference on Telemocracy in Scheveningen, NL, 30-11-1996 (presentation)
Teledemocracy is about... democracy
[ Review ] - buziaulane.blogspot.com
Disc version of the first Internet book by Marcel Bullinga, signed by the author (collection Jak Boumans) "In 1995 Marcel Bullinga wrote that this internet book had come too early. He wanted a virtual book, which utilised all the internet opportunities: distribution through the net by download, marketing on the net, electronic payment and readers through the net. The book would go directly from author to reader, avoiding the full cycle of publisher, printer and book seller. But he granted that he was 5 years too early. Online payment had to wait for another year and it is only since last year that you can pay for a book directly by the I-Deal payment system in the Netherlands. He worked together with the developers of the E-Cash system, which never came from the drawing table. Interesting was his prediction that in 5 years from 1995 you would be able to take a screen to be. This screen would be as flexible and readable as paper and it would be linked to the PC or TV by infrared. Looking back immediately the iLiad springs to mind. By 2000 e-Ink had developed a prototype. It would take till 2006 for digital paper to reach the market. And the infrared connection to the PC or TV had become a wifi link to the net."